Consider a probability distribution governing the evolution of a descrete-time stochastic process. Such a distribution may be represented as a convex combination of more elementary probability measures, with the interpretation of a two-stage Bayesian procedure. In the first stage, one of the...

Exploiting small uncertainties on the part of opponents, players in long, finitely repeated games can maintain false reputations that lead to a large variety of equilibrium outcomes. Even cooperation in a finitely repeated prisoners' dilemma is obtainable. Can such false reputations be maintined...