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In a factor-augmented regression, the forecast of a variable depends on a few factors estimated from a large number of predictors. But how does one determine the appropriate number of factors relevant for such a regression? Existing work has focused on criteria that can consistently estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420506
This paper revisits a number of data-rich prediction methods that are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting, such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005726626
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003881191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002808206
Testing and estimating the rank of a matrix of estimated parameters is key in a large variety of econometric modelling scenarios. This paper describes general methods to test for and estimate the rank of a matrix, and provides details on a variety of modelling scenarios in the econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636063
Testing and estimating the rank of a matrix of estimated parameters is key in a large variety of econometric modelling scenarios. This paper describes general methods to test for and estimate the rank of a matrix, and provides details on a variety of modelling scenarios in the econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316643
of cross-validation methods based on out of sample forecasting properties are proposed. These procedures are used for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116278
We propose a new approach to forecasting the term structure of interest rates, which allows to efficiently extract the … Likelihood of the model. Focusing on the US, we provide an extensive study on the forecasting performance of the proposed model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574827
We address the issue of modelling and forecasting macroeconomic variables using medium and large datasets, by adopting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940885
use of measures of underlying in?ation to formulate monetary policy and assist in forecasting observed in?ation. Recent … disaggregated price indices for European countries. We then assess the forecasting ability of these factor estimates against other … 12 to 18 months is adopted as a valid criterion to assess forecasting. Empirical results for the ?ve largest euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604448