Showing 1 - 10 of 81
This paper provides a review which focuses on forecasting using statistical/econometric methods designed for dealing with large data sets.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284149
This paper revisits a number of data-rich prediction methods, like factor models, Bayesian ridge regression and forecast combinations, which are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting, and compares these with a lesser known alternative method: partial least squares regression. Under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284202
We compare a number of data-rich prediction methods that are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting with a lesser known alternative: partial least squares (PLS) regression. In this method, linear, orthogonal combinations of a large number of predictor variables are constructed such that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287052
This paper revisits a number of data-rich prediction methods, like factor models, Bayesian ridge regression and forecast combinations, which are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting, and compares these with a lesser known alternative method: partial least squares regression. Under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106310
This paper provides a review which focuses on forecasting using statistical/econometric methods designed for dealing with large data sets.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106367
We compare a number of data-rich prediction methods that are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting with a lesser known alternative: partial least squares (PLS) regression. In this method, linear, orthogonal combinations of a large number of predictor variables are constructed such that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781548
We compare a number of data-rich prediction methods that are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting with a lesser known alternative: partial least squares (PLS) regression. In this method, linear, orthogonal combinations of a large number of predictor variables are constructed such that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720604
We forecast CPI inflation in the United Kingdom up to one year ahead using a large set of monthly disaggregated CPI item series combined with a wide set of forecasting tools, including dimensionality reduction techniques, shrinkage methods and non-linear machine learning models. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234829
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795057
In a factor-augmented regression, the forecast of a variable depends on a few factors estimated from a large number of predictors. But how does one determine the appropriate number of factors relevant for such a regression? Existing work has focused on criteria that can consistently estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283506