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Interest in the interface of nonstationarity and nonlinearity has been increasing in the econometric literature. This paper provides a formal method of testing for nonstationary long memory against the alternative of particular forms of nonlinerarity. The nonlinear models we consider are ESTAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076075
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recent break tends to produce more accurate forecasts than unconditional estimation methods based on expanding or rolling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322730
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305469
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530816
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488893
estimation of their standard errors. As the asymptotic distribution of the thresholds parameters is neither normal nor nuisance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076262
In this paper we use principal components analysis to obtain vulnerability indicators able to predict financial turmoil. Probit modelling through principal components and also stochastic simulation of a Dynamic Factor model are used to produce the corresponding probability forecasts regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062777
modelling that enables stochastic structural change in model parameters and on model estimation by Bayesian or non …-parametric kernel methods. In the context of the estimation of covariance matrices of large dimensional panels, such data requires … applicable in econometric analysis beyond estimation of large covariance matrices. We discuss the utility of the robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316010
In this paper we propose a new testing procedure to detect the presence of a cointegrating relationship that follows a globally stationary smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) process. We start from a general VAR model, embed the STAR error correction mechanism (ECM) and then derive the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076100