This research examines the implications of contingent claims models for empirical research on default. We focus on the probability of default over a short horizon given the current state of the world, i.e., the conditional probability of default, which more closely resembles the estimates of...

Drawing from a large mortgage loan database and an extensive panel data set on metropolitan areas, this study refines the contingent claims model of default. Recent research has treated default as optimal exercise of a put option and has emphasized loan to value ratios, loan age and interest...

Using recent theoretical advances and an extensive panel data set on metropolitan areas, this study provides new tests of the contingent claims based model of default. The empirical modeling incorporates a full complement of variables that permit direct tests of the options-based model including...

This research examines the implications of contingent-claims models for empirical research on default. We focus on the probability of default over a short horizon given the current state of the world, "i.e.", the conditional probability of default, which more closely resembles the estimates of...