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We present a non-technical account of ambiguity in strategic games and show how it may be applied to economics and social sciences. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the effect of increasing (decreasing) equilibrium prices under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008620349
We report on an experiment in which subjects choose actions in strategic games with either strategic complements or substitutes against a granny, a game theorist or other subjects. The games are selected in order to test predictions on the comparative statics of equilibrium with respect to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008620366
This paper considers the impact of ambiguity in strategic situations. It extends the earlier literature by allowing for optimistic responses to ambiguity. Ambiguity is modelled by CEU preferences. We study comparative statics of changes in ambiguity-attitude in games with strategic complements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852474
In Ghirardato, Macheroni and MArcinaccri (GMM) propose a method for distinguishing between percieved ambiguity and the decision-maker's reaction to it. They study a general class of preferences which includes CEU and a-MEU and axiomatise a subclass of a-MEU preferences. We show that for Hurwicz...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852487
In [7] Ghirardato, Macheroni and Marinacci (GMM) propose a method for distinguishing between perceived ambiguity and the decision-maker's reaction to it. They study a general class of preferences which they refer to as invariant biseparable. This class includes CEU and MEU. They axiomatize a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852488
This paper considers the impact of ambiguity in strategic situations. It extends the earlier literature by allowing for optimistic responses to ambiguity. Ambiguity is modelled by CEU preferences. We propose a new solution concept for players who may express ambiguity- preference. Then we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852500
We present a non-technical account of ambiguity in strategic games and show how it may be applied to economics and social sciences. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the e?ect of increasing (decreasing) equilibrium prices under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852506
We apply Pires’s coherence property between unconditional and conditional preferences that admit a CEU representation. In conjunction with consequentialism (only those outcomes on states which are still possible can matter for conditional preference) this implies that the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852516
The paper examines the impacts of ambiguity and ambiguity attitudes on macro-economic "Big Push" model. By formally modelling ambiguity, optimism and pessimism in economic industrialization, we show the results with Keynesian flavour: sufficient optimism can create the "Big Push" to help the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941112
Raiffa (1961) has suggested that ambiguity aversion will cause a strict preference for randomization. We show that dynamic consistency implies that individuals will be indifferent to ex ante randomizations. On the other hand, it is possible for a dynamically-consistent ambiguity averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883466