Showing 1 - 10 of 197
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604272
We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation within pre-specified bounds. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319941
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model specifications? Are real or nominal oil prices predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178604
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639841
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression eroor as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604242
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression eroor as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816215
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a year-over-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696925
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a yearover-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698202
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263320