The Asian crisis highlighted the vulnerability of emerging market economies faced by sudden capital flow reversals. An important question that has critical implications for crisis management is how negative shocks in capital inflows were transmitted to economic activities, transforming financial...

This paper analyzes Korea’s exchange rate dynamics before and during the crisis of 1997-98 by estimating the long-run fundamental exchange rate and the associated error correction model. The analysis suggests that although Korea’s exchange rate was substantially overvalued before...

Why is Japan a good case study to help Europe overcome the economic and �nancial crisis that started more than �ve years ago? What can Japan learn from Europe's experience? Japan and the EU are both open economies with signi�cant trade and �nancial links; both face in many...

We extend Kilian's (2009) framework to identify an exogenous shock arising from changes in financial market conditions and examine the consequent macroeconomic impacts of oil price changes. We find that a financial shock is a key determinant of oil prices and its macroeconomic impact is as...

In the wake of the global financial crisis, leading industrialized countries have managed to show only a gradual recovery, while East Asian economies have surged ahead. In particular, China achieved growth in excess of 10% in 2010 and is expected to continue growing at a rapid pace. It appears...

This paper discusses the time-varying degree of flexibility in exchange rate regimes and assesses the extent to which securities markets are integrated in East Asia. The dynamic conditional correlation model developed by Engle (2002) is used to analyze the time-varying characteristics of the...