Showing 1 - 10 of 22
We present a comprehensive macroeconomic model for the U.S. There exist strict long-term relations between real GDP, price inflation, labor force participation, productivity, and unemployment. The evolution of real GDP depends only on exogenous demographic forces. Other macro-variables follow up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723567
The average and median income dependence on work experience and time is analyzed and modeled for the USA. The original data set providing the mean and median income estimates in 10 year long intervals spans a long time period of almost 35 years - from 1967 to 2003.A microeconomic model linking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734248
A comprehensive study of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is carried out. Principal characteristics of the PID in USA are established.A microeconomic model of the personal income distribution and evolution with time is developed. The model balances two processes - individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734249
Numerical modelling of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA from 1950 to 2003 is accomplished based on a microeconomic model for the personal income evolution. It is shown that the overall PID demonstrates the existence of some fixed hierarchical income distribution structure in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734254
The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of income production and dissipation for any person above 15...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734255
We analyze and develop a quantitative model describing the evolution of personal income distribution (PID) for males and females in the U.S. between 1930 and 2014. The overall microeconomic model, which we introduced ten years ago, accurately predicts the change in mean income as a function of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014051
The evolution of personal income distribution (PID) in four countries: Canada, New Zealand, the UK, and the USA follows a unique trajectory. We have revealed precise match in the shape of two age-dependent features of the PID: mean income and the portion of people with the highest incomes (2 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014104
This study validates the microeconomic model defining the evolution of personal incomes in the U.S. Because of a large portion of population not reporting any income, any comprehensive modeling of the overall personal income distribution (PID) is complicated. Age-dependent PIDs allow overcoming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012708780
The predictions of the S&P 500 returns made in 2007 have been tested and the underlying models amended. The period between 2003 and 2008 should be described by the dependence of the S&P 500 stock market index on real GDP because the population pyramid was highly inaccurate. The 2008 trough and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146028
Income inequality between different races in the U.S. is especially large. This difference is even larger when gender is involved. In a complementary study, we have developed a dynamic micro-economic model accurately describing the evolution of male and female incomes since 1930. Here, we extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831629