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Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Labor productivity in developed countries is analyzed and modeled. Modeling is based on our previous finding that the rate of labor force participation is a unique function of GDP per capita. Therefore, labor productivity is fully determined by the rate of economic growth, and thus, is a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835840

Unemployment and inflation in Western Europe: solution by the boundary element method

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

Using an analog of the boundary element method in engineering and science, we analyze and model unemployment rate in Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a function of inflation and the change in labor force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837146

Exact prediction of S&P 500 returns

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

the number of 17 year-olds shifted 8 years back. The prediction of S&P 500 returns for the months after 2003, including … estimates of real GDP per capita. A prediction is available for the period beyond 2007. There are two sharp drops in the … indices, including RMS difference, linear regression, and VAR demonstrate good prediction accuracy at two-year horizon, when …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790450

S&P 500 returns revisited

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010

rally will end in March/April 2010 and the S&P 500 level will be decreasing into 2011. This prediction should validate the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008529227

CRUDE OIL AND MOTOR FUEL: FAIR PRICE REVISITED

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010

well, from its current value of ~$50 per barrel.” The behavior of actual price has shown that this prediction is accurate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543797

PPI of durable and nondurable goods: 1985-2016

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

year horizon. The prediction consists of three steps. First, we show that the difference between producer price index for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036832

Sustainable trends in producer price indices

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

presence of sustainable trends in the differences allows prediction of prices for various commodities at time horizons of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052188

Modelling and predicting labor force productivity

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the link between the rate of labor participation and real...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014716

Modelling of selected S&P 500 share prices

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

Historical share prices of selected S&P 500 companies have been accurately approximated by linear functions of the difference between core CPI and subsets of the CPI in the United States. The pricing model describes the evolution of share price along a predetermined trajectory. The selected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020482

Predicting share price of energy companies: June-September 2009

Kitov, Ivan; Kitov, Oleg - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

Previously, we have revealed the presence of a reliable linear dependence between share prices of energy-related companies and the difference between CPI and core CPI: any change in share prices is transmitted into a proportional change in this difference two and half months later. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020507