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Bayesian calibration of generalized pools of predictive distributions

Casarin, Roberto; Mantoan, Giulia; Ravazzolo, Francesco - In: Econometrics : open access journal 4 (2016) 1, pp. 1-24

Decision-makers often consult different experts to build reliable forecasts on variables of interest. Combining more opinions and calibrating them to maximize the forecast accuracy is consequently a crucial issue in several economic problems. This paper applies a Bayesian beta mixture model to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505901

Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?

Kolasa, Marcin; Rubaszek, Michał - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 809-821

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031114

Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles

Ravazzolo, Francesco; Vahey, Shaun P. - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 18 (2014) 4, pp. 367-381

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461273

Using entropic tilting to combine BVAR forecasts with external nowcasts

Krüger, Fabian; Clark, Todd E.; Ravazzolo, Francesco - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 35 (2017) 3, pp. 470-485

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705954

Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment

Aastveit, Knut Are; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Dijk, Herman … - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 36 (2018) 1, pp. 131-145

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894481

Forecasting using DSGE models with financial frictions

Kolasa, Marcin; Rubaszek, Michał - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 1-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327140

A Bayesian method of combining judgemental and model-based density forecasts

Kocięcki, Andrzej; Kolasa, Marcin; Robaszek, Michał - In: Economic modelling 29 (2012) 4, pp. 1349-1355

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009667355

Putting the new Keynesian DSGE model to the real-time forecasting test

Kolasa, Marcin; Rubaszek, Michał; Skrzypczyński, Paweł - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 44 (2012) 7, pp. 1301-1324

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009693643

Combination schemes for turning point predictions

Billio, Monica; Casarin, Roberto; Ravazzolo, Francesco; … - In: The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal … 52 (2012) 4, pp. 402-412

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009700545

Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world

Groen, Jan J. J.; Paap, Richard; Ravazzolo, Francesco - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 31 (2013) 1, pp. 29-44

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715102