This paper investigates the predictive ability of money for future inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. We construct monetary indicators similar to those the European Central Bank regularly uses for monetary analysis. We find in-sample evidence that money matters for...

V kvìtnu 2002 se konal 38. semináø ÈSE z øady semináøù ""Ekonomické teorie a èeská ekonomika"" s názvem: Argentina - vzestupy a pády?. Øeèníkem semináøe byl Jiøí Jonáš, poradce výkonného øeditele Mezinárodního mìnového fondu. Jeho vystoupení se zamìøilo na...

The authors contend that the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA) provides a useful framework for discussions of monetary integration. The authors summarize the historical development of monetary integration and discuss possible future development. Theoretical issues, such as those raised in...

In this paper we discuss the estimation and methodology of the real equilibrium exchange rate partial equilibrium models and analyse to what extent the resulting estimates are applicable for setting the central parity prior to ERM II entry in the New EU Member States. Given the uncertainty...

In this paper the authors calculate OCA-indexes for industrial countries in an effort to estimate the benefit-cost ratio of adopting a common currency. The results correspond to the estimation of Bayoumi and Eichengreen (1997b) and show that the ranking of the economies suitable to form a...

The paper contains a general analysis of the exchange rate convergence process of new European Union member states and candidate countries. Following an introduction, we discuss exchange rate strategies applied during periods of economic transition. Emphasis is given to a hypothetical evaluation...