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Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis of daily electricity spot prices. The parameters of the model with mean and variance specifications are estimated simultaneously by the method...
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-Leibler divergence in empirically relevant settings. We illustrate the theory with an application to time-varying volatility models. We …
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This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153285
We consider a general class of observation-driven models with exogenous regressors for double bounded data that are based on the beta distribution. We obtain a stationary and ergodic beta observation-driven process subject to a contraction condition on the stochastic dynamic model equation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843003
subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of … increased during the 2008 financial crisis while it has recently returned to its pre-crisis level. The extracted volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924242
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This paper considers a stochastic volatility model featuring an asymmetric stable error distribution and a novel way of … filtering of time-varying volatility, and volatility forecasting. Specifically, we make use of the indirect inference method to … estimate the static parameters, and the extremum Monte Carlo method to extract latent volatility. Both methods can be easily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433826
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