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-dimensional vector of financial returns. We identify common and idiosyncratic conditional volatility factors. The econometric framework … dimensionality. The relatively simple structure of the model leads to simple computations for the estimation of parameters and signal … conditional volatility factor are investigated by means of a Monte Carlo study. Finally, we illustrate our approach with two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220280
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts … implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation … stochastic shocks incorporated in the SVXmodels. The out-of-sample volatility forecasts are evaluated against dailysquared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304384
We revisit Wintenberger (2013) on the continuous invertibility of the EGARCH(1,1) model. We note that the definition of continuous invertibility adopted in Wintenberger (2013) may not always be sufficient to deliver strong consistency of the QMLE. We also take the opportunity to provide other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401308
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
Although the main interest in the modelling of electricity prices is often on volatility aspects, we argue that … towards volatility features of the time series.For the older electricity market of Nord Pool in Norway, it is found that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334362
subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of … the observed time series. We develop a simulated maximum likelihood estimation method based on importance sampling and … increased during the 2008 financial crisis while it has recently returned to its pre-crisis level. The extracted volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984
-dimensional vector of financial returns. We identify common and idiosyncratic conditional volatility factors. The econometric framework … dimensionality. The relatively simple structure of the model leads to simple computations for the estimation of parameters and signal … conditional volatility factor are investigated by means of a Monte Carlo study. Finally, we illustrate our approach with two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591559
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015050635
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001723785