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area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
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We introduce a dynamic network model with probabilistic link functions that depend on stochastically time-varying parameters. We adopt the widely used blockmodel framework and allow the high-dimensional vector of link probabilities to be a function of a low-dimensional set of dynamic factors....
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We propose to pool alternative systemic risk rankings for financial institutions using the method of principal components. The resulting overall ranking is less affected by estimation uncertainty and model risk. We apply our methodology to disentangle the common signal and the idiosyncratic...
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components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
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