Showing 1 - 10 of 259
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722696
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653053
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172098
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256798
of application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114810
application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057160
of application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864459
We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete stock price changes. The likelihood function for our model is analytically intractable and requires Monte Carlo integration methods for its numerical evaluation. The proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403534
We develop a systematic framework for the joint modelling of returns and multiple daily realised measures. We assume a linear state space representation for the log realised measures, which are noisy and biased estimates of the log integrated variance, at least due to Jensen's inequality. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326202