Showing 1 - 10 of 261
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326198
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256798
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653053
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722696
autoregressive score (GAS) models have similar predictive accuracy to correctly specified parameter-driven models. In most cases … alternatives. We also find that GAS models outperform many familiar observation-driven models in terms of forecasting accuracy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172098
of application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114810
of application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864459
application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057160
We develop a systematic framework for the joint modelling of returns and multiple daily realised measures. We assume a linear state space representation for the log realised measures, which are noisy and biased estimates of the log integrated variance, at least due to Jensen's inequality. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326202
We propose a new methodology for the Bayesian analysis of nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models with a Gaussian time-varying signal, where the signal is a function of a possibly high-dimensional state vector. The novelty of our approach is the development of proposal densities for the joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326393