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We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
This paper introduces a novel simulation-based filtering method for general state space models. It allows for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247627
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003645182
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014221102
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373811
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513606
introduce two novel methods for computationally efficient simulation: Conditional MitISEM, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to … provide more information about the left tail of the distribution of the standardized innovations. Extensive simulation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722660