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We explore a new approach to the forecasting of macroeconomic variables based on a dynamic factor state space analysis. Key economic variables are modeled jointly with principal components from a large time series panel of macroeconomic indicators using a multivariate unobserved components time...
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different forecast horizons. However, various specifications of the factor model exist and it is a topic of debate which … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … depth. We empirically verify the forecast performance of three factor model approaches and report our findings in an …
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different forecast horizons. However, various specifications of the factor model exist and it is a topic of debate which … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … depth. We empirically verify the forecast performance of three factor model approaches and report our findings in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048646
Many empirical studies show that factor models have a relatively high forecast compared to alternative short …-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different data sets and for different forecast horizons …. However, choosing the appropriate factor model specification is still a topic of ongoing debate. Moreover, the forecast …
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