Showing 1 - 10 of 110
model for the autoregressive coefficient matrices and a multivariate dynamic volatility model for the variance matrix of the … and robustness of the method against potential misspecifications of the volatility in the disturbance vector. We further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591572
model for the autoregressive coefficient matrices and a multivariate dynamic volatility model for the variance matrix of the … and robustness of the method against potential misspecifications of the volatility in the disturbance vector. We further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220281
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis of daily electricity spot prices. The parameters of the model with mean and variance specifications are estimated simultaneously by the method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300485
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean …(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable … Stochastic Volatility (SV)model. However, efficient Monte Carlo simulationmethods for SV models have been developed to overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303314
Although the main interest in the modelling of electricity prices is often on volatility aspects, we argue that … towards volatility features of the time series.For the older electricity market of Nord Pool in Norway, it is found that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334362
improved volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an information source for … volatility forecasting. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of historical volatility (extracted from daily return … series), of implied volatility (extracted from option pricing data) and of realised volatility (computed as the sum of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334848
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
that is embedded in the time-varying parameter path. We illustrate our findings in a volatility analysis for monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891