conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic volatility process. We develop a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood method to obtain … variance, in the order of integration, in the short memory characteristics and in the volatility of volatility. …

accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …

We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete … series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades … intraday volatility shows that the dynamic modified Skellam model provides accurate forecasts compared to alternative modeling …

subject to stochastic volatility. It enables the disentanglement of dynamic structures in both the mean and the variance of … increased during the 2008 financial crisis while it has recently returned to its pre-crisis level. The extracted volatility …

model to be extended with stochastic volatility and heavy tailed disturbances. We develop a flexible estimation method for …