Showing 1 - 10 of 130
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316908
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818590
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334364
Convergence in gross domestic product series of five European countriesis empirically identified using multivariate time series models that arebased on unobserved components with dynamic converging properties.We define convergence in terms of a decrease in dispersion over timeand model this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333256
Convergence in gross domestic product series of five European countries is empirically identified using multivariate time series models that are based on unobserved components with dynamic converging properties. We define convergence in terms of a decrease in dispersion over time and model this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014086714
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003398184
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002342792
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001791917
different forecast horizons. However, various specifications of the factor model exist and it is a topic of debate which … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … depth. We empirically verify the forecast performance of three factor model approaches and report our findings in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048646