Die Corona-Krise hat die deutsche Wirtschaft in die tiefste Rezession seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg gestürzt. Aufgrund der weltweiten Verbreitung sind Lieferketten gestört und der internationale Handel erheblich beeinträchtigt, was die exportabhängige deutsche Wirtschaft besonders stark trifft....

Die Corona-Pandemie bewirkt einen globalen Interaktionsschock, der die Weltwirtschaft unter massiven Stress setzt. Stabilisierungspolitische Maßnahmen begründen sich unmittelbar aus den Folgen der Seuchenpolitik. Die Autoren betonen, dass es in Zeiten hoher Konjunkturunsicherheit in besonderem...

The recovery of the German economy is interrupted. The main reasons are the second Covid wave and the shutdown measures that have been implemented since November. Since these measures will, at least to some extent, probably remain in place for some time to come, GDP will decline in the final...

The German economy is at the brink of a recession. Gross domestic product is likely to decline again in the third quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a normalization of the previous boom period. At present,...

German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.1 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). Economic activity is driven by consumer spending that increases in the upcoming years by about 2 percent per year due to strong increases in real disposable income.

The expansion in Germany is set to continue despite headwinds from abroad. We leave our forecast as of autumn unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.9 percent in 2016 and by 1.7 percent in 2017. The effects of the Brexit-vote on the German economy will be modest in this period. The long-run...

The economic upswing in Germany is set to continue despite heavy headwinds from abroad. We expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017 and by 2.1 percent in 2018 after an increase of 1.9 percent in the current year. The slight deceleration in GDP growth in 2017 is due to temporary factors, in...

The economic upswing in Germany is set to con­tinue. GDP is likely to grow 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent next year. Strong domestic drivers remain the dominant factors. The significantly lower number of refugees arriving since the start of the year will be mainly reflected in a somewhat...