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Following an encouraging first half of the year, the recovery of the global economy has lost momentum. Across the globe, resurging Covid-19 infections weighed on economic activity. Supply chain disruptions prevented a further expansion of global industrial production, and the fast-moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805890
were previously particularly burdened. Retail trade and contact-intensive services in particular are likely to benefit from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650193
coronavirus rising sharply and containment measures tightened again in many countries. Industrial production and world trade have … next, with a particularly strong improvement in the outlook for the United States. World trade in goods is expected to grow … horizon world trade will thus be even higher than expected before the crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590089
economic momentum in China being actually quite high. Unlike in spring, manufacturing output, international trade in goods, and … world trade in goods, we expect an increase of 8.8 percent, following a decline of 5.4 percent this year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392680
global trade. Financial market turbulence in the course of the coming normalization of monetary policies and an escalation of … trade conflicts constitute major risks to our baseline forecast of a gradually moderating but still robust world economy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063391
The world economy is expanding at a more moderate pace with growth momentum continuing to shift from emerging to advanced economies. World GDP will increase by 3.3 per cent this year – even some-what less than the already modest growth in the recent past. For 2016 and 2017 we expect growth to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063536
The world economy contracted by close to 10 percent in the first half of 2020 as the COVID-10 pandemic unfolded. After a 3 percent drop in activity in the first quarter, global output contacted by some 7 percent as governments around the world implemented measures to contain the virus and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302343
likely remain high over the forecasting horizon. In particular, a further escalation of the trade conflict between the United … States and China as well as its potential extension to the trade relationship with the European Union constitute significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060483
to significant downside risks in light of increasing trade tensions, investors withdrawing funds from emerging markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060516
point towards a further deceleration towards the end of the year. Increased uncertainty from global trade conflicts and the … to expect world production to increase by 3.4 percent. The escalation of trade conflicts, the possibility of a “hard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060521