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We provide evidence of a strong effect of the underlying stock's illiquidity on option prices by showing that the average absolute difference between historical and implied volatility increases with stock illiquidity. This pattern translates into significant excess returns of option trading...
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In this paper we develop a new family of estimators of the covariance matrix that relies solely on forward-looking information. These estimators only use current price information from a cross-section of plain-vanilla options and employ different higher moments of the implied return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066555
We develop a new family of estimators of the covariance matrix that relies solely on forwardlooking information. It uses only current prices of plain-vanilla options. In an out-of-sample study we show that a minimum-variance strategy based on these fully-implied estimators outperforms several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235241
Option-implied moments, like implied volatility, contain useful information about an underlying asset's return distribution, but are derived under the risk-neutral probability measure. This paper shows how to convert risk-neutral moments into the corresponding physical ones. The main theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399367
In this paper we develop the first estimator of the covariance matrix that relies solely on forward-looking information. This estimator only uses price information from a cross-section of plain-vanilla options. In an out-of-sample study for US blue-chip stocks we show that a minimum-variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270560
Option-implied betas are a promising alternative to historical beta estimators, because they are inherently forward-looking and can incorporate new information immediately and fully. Recently, different implied beta estimators have been developed in previous literature, but very little is known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230656
Option-implied moments, like implied volatility, contain useful information about an underlying asset's return distribution but are derived under the risk-neutral probability measure. This paper provides a direct way of converting risk-neutral moments into the corresponding physical moments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006232
We provide evidence of a strong effect of the underlying stock’s illiquidity on option returns. By conditioning on end user demand, we find that the corresponding illiquidity premiums are negative and decrease in stock illiquidity if there is net buying pressure, while premiums are positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352416