Showing 1 - 10 of 121
This paper examines the global drivers of inflation in 55 countries over the 1970-2022 period. We estimate a Factor … domestic shocks. We report three main results. First, global shocks have explained about 26 percent of inflation variation in a … typical economy. Oil price shocks accounted for only about 4 percent of inflation variation, but they had a statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488859
This paper examines the role of external shocks in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in African countries. We construct a quantitative, stochastic, dynamic, multi-sector equilibrium model of a small open economy calibrated to represent a typical African economy. In our framework, external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321425
This paper analyzes the role of world price shocks, namely fluctuations in the prices of capital, intermediate and primary goods, and the world real interest rate, in the generation and propagation of business cycles in developing countries, using a stochastic dynamic multi-sector model of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222322
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986398
Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) have experienced an extraordinary decline in inflation since the early … 1970s. After peaking in 1974 at 17.3 percent, inflation in these economies declined to 3.5 percent in 2017. Despite a … checkered history of managing inflation among many EMDEs, disinflation occurred across all regions. This paper presents a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060219
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060221
This paper examines the global drivers of inflation in 55 countries over the 1970-2022 period. We estimate a Factor … domestic shocks. We report three main results. First, global shocks have explained about 26 percent of inflation variation in a … typical economy. Oil price shocks accounted for only about 4 percent of inflation variation, but they had a statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540885
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373857
We study the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a … emerging market and developing economies) and to analyze commonalities in inflation synchronization across a wide range of … inflation measures. We report three major results. First, inflation movements have become increasingly synchronized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890622
Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) have experienced an extraordinary decline in inflation since the early … 1970s. After peaking in 1974 at 17.3 percent, inflation in these economies declined to 3.5 percent in 2017. Despite a … checkered history of managing inflation among many EMDEs, disinflation occurred across all regions. This paper presents a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891124