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Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility
Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar S.; Terrones, Marco E. - 2003
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility. Economic theory does … not provide a clear guide to the effects of financial integration on volatility, implying that this is essentially an … empirical question. We provide a comprehensive examination of changes in macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014084811
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Trade Shocks and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Africa
Kose, M. Ayhan; Riezman, Raymond G. - 2021
This paper examines the role of external shocks in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in African countries. We construct a quantitative, stochastic, dynamic, multi-sector equilibrium model of a small open economy calibrated to represent a typical African economy. In our framework, external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321425
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Regionalization vs. globalization
Hirata, Hideaki; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M. - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009703626
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086323
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088886
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078917
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Global Recessions
Kose, M. Ayhan - 2020
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009. During each of these episodes, annual real per capita global GDP contracted, and this contraction was accompanied by weakening of other key indicators of global economic activity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841841
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Global recessions
Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009. During each of these episodes, annual real per capita global GDP contracted, and this contraction was accompanied by weakening of other key indicators of global economic activity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159612
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Specification and estimation of Bayesian dynamic factor models : a Monte Carlo analysis with an application to global house price comovement
Jackson, Laura E.; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392890
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Specification and estimation of Bayesian dynamic factor models : a Monte Carlo analysis with an application to global house price comovement
Jackson, Laura E.; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - In: Dynamic factor models, (pp. 361-400). 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448672