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We construct a neural network algorithm that generates price predictions for art at auction, relying on both visual and non-visual object characteristics. We find that higher automated valuations relative to auction house pre-sale estimates are associated with substantially higher...
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We study the accuracy and usefulness of automated (i.e., machine-generated) valuations for illiquid and heterogeneous real assets. We assemble a database of 1.1 million paintings auctioned between 2008 and 2015. We use a popular machine-learning technique - neural networks - to develop a pricing...
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is a strong predictor of economic surprises, suggesting that forecasters behave strategically (rational bias) and possess … direction of economic surprises, regret becomes a relevant cognitive bias to explain asset price responses. We find that the …
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In the secondary art market, artists play no active role. This allows us to isolate cultural influences on the demand for female artists' work from supply-side factors. Using 1.5 million auction transactions in 45 countries, we document a 47.6% gender discount in auction prices for paintings....
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-of-sample, confirming our hypothesis that forecasters behave strategically and possess private information. This strategic bias found in US … show that it has been increasing both through time and in relation to the behavioral anchor bias. Our results suggest that …
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We provide evidence that culture is a source of pricing bias. In a sample of 1.9 million auction transactions in 49 …
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