Showing 1 - 5 of 5
allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825666
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826355
Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826574
-skewed market expectations, implying a higher probability mass on crude oil prices remaining above the futures' level. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605320
, as conveyed by an implied risk-neutral probability distribution, from option prices for the dollar-euro exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605330