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Intertemporal substitution and random changes in preferences : time series evidence for four countries

Kugler, Peter - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 13 (1988) 1, pp. 17-34

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001046531

A monthly leading indicator of Swiss GDP growth based on Okun's law

Kugler, Peter; Sheldon, George - In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 159 (2023) 1, pp. 1-14

We propose a unique method of nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth based on a forward-looking measure of unemployment (FLUR) and Okun's law that offers a number of advantages over current leading indicators of the Swiss business cycle. The following investigation, covering the period from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506541

GDP data revisions and forward-looking monetary policy in Switzerland

Kugler, Peter; Jordan, Thomas; Lenz, Carlos; Savioz, Marcel - 2005 - Last revision January 2005

volatility of inflation and output growth is explored by a simulation exercise. In general, the results obtained suggest that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570301

Money and inflation in Switzerland

Kugler, Peter; Reynard, Samuel - In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 158 (2022) 1, pp. 1-13

This paper characterizes the relationship between monetary aggregates, inflation and economic activity in Switzerland … exchange rate fluctuations can explain the major inflation developments in Switzerland over the past four decades. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793487