Showing 1 - 10 of 89
agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960572
India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a … target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper draws on Indian macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960575
Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019008
.S. output-inflation process, which implies that excess demand conditions are much more inflationary than excess supply … overheats because this will necessitate a severe tightening in monetary conditions in order to reestablish inflation control …. The small model of the U.S. output-inflation process developed in the paper shows that the seeds of large recessions, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781883
This paper develops a small model of the output-inflation process in the United States in order to examine the … interest rates respond contemporaneously to output and inflation and a forward-looking policy rule that exploits information … model of inflation where positive deviations of aggregate demand from potential are more inflationary than negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781884
Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782366
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023270
This paper provides a quantitative exploration of international spillovers of macroeconomic shocks among the major industrial economies. The particular topical example analyzed here concerns the possible effects on the industrial economies of adverse shocks to the current U.S. economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782795
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064363
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960587