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Researchers in policymaking institutions have expended significant effort to develop a new generation of macro models with more rigorous microfoundations. This paper provides a summary of the applications of two of these models. The Global Economy Model is a quarterly model that features a large...
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This paper motivates and describes an approach to forecasting and monetary policy analysis based on the use of a simple structural macroeconomic model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. It contrasts this approach with financial programming and its emphasis on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768925
One of the pioneers of inflation targeting (IT), the Bank of Canada is now considering a possibility of switching to … price-level-path targeting (PLPT), where past deviations of inflation from the target would have to be offset in the future … has strayed little from the path implied by the two percent inflation target since its introduction in December 1994, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769297
A model in which monetary policy pursues full-fledged inflation targeting adapts well to Ghana. Model features include …: endogenous policy credibility; non-linearities in the inflation process; and a policy loss function that aims to minimize the … variability of output and the interest rate, as well as deviations of inflation from the long-term low-inflation target. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519489
This is the third chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes …: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." It examines a number of elements in the design of an inflation …-targeting framework. These include the definition of the target variable, the relevance of core measures of inflation, and the advantages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999952
Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its predecessor model, and how the new features of the model can improve the IMF’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590952
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434