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News - or foresight - about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading...
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Business news often gives the impression that the effects of monetary policy on the macroeconomy are well understood and predictable. The author of this article, however, believes that, far from sharing such certainty, policymakers and economists alike have knowledge limited by difficulties in...
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estimated equations vary considerably over different periods. The authors also investigate the role of money by incorporating … money (M2) into the NK model; they find that including money substantially alters the model's conclusions about monetary … policy. This result conflicts with the NK theoretical assumption that money is irrelevant. ; Both NK models and VARs have …
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policy parameters and policy shocks and obtains conditions under which the usual tests that deficits Granger-cause money … interest rate reverses the usual Granger-causal ordering between deficits and monetization, so that money growth (or inflation … testing whether deficits Granger-cause money creation, may fail to uncover the monetization. …
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We explore two popular approaches to empirical analysis of monetary policy: the New Keynesian and the identified vector autoregression approaches. Stylized models of private behavior coupled with simple rules describing policy behavior characterize New Keynesian work. Vector autoregressions...
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