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Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? : forecasting employment in Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: Applied economics letters 24 (2017) 4/6, pp. 279-283

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704457

Explaining spatial patterns of foreign employment in Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Nagl, Wolfgang - 2017 - This version: February 12, 2017

This paper investigates the main determinants of the regional representation of foreign employees in Germany. Since … for total foreign employment but also for the 35 most important migration countries to Germany. Based on a total census … for all 402 districts in Germany, we find a large heterogeneity in migration determinants between nationalities. We …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611136

Forecasting Regional Industrial Production with High-Frequency Electricity Consumption Data

Lehmann, Robert; Möhrle, Sascha - 2022

In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using unique weekly and monthly electricity consumption data for the second-largest German state, the Free State of Bavaria, we conduct a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting experiment for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077188

The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government : A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution

Lehmann, Robert - 2019

the Joint Economic Forecast, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that … decline in Germany’s trend growth and a systematic failure to correctly anticipate recessions. We show that the German …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892128

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German States : new data for business cycle analyses and long-run dynamics

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2023

Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when quarterly economic growth for Germany becomes available. We use the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549105

READ-GER : Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting

Lehmann, Robert - 2023

Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. In this paper, I introduce a real-time database for German regional economic accounts (READ-GER). The database contains real-time information for nine macroeconomic aggregates and the 16 German states....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358678