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Forecasting employment in Europe : are survey results helpful?

Lehmann, Robert; Weyh, Antje - 2015

In diesem Papier evaluieren wir für 15 europäische Staaten, inwiefern Beschäftigungserwartungen die Prognosegüte des Erwerbstätigenwachstums verbessert. Unser Beobachtungszeitraum beginnt mit dem ersten Quartal 1998 und endet mit dem vierten Quartal 2014. Mit In-Sample- und...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387721

Forecasting employment in Europe : are survey results helpful?

Lehmann, Robert; Weyh, Antje - 2014

In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European states. Our data cover the period from the first quarter 1998 to the fourth quarter 2012. With in-sample analyses and pseudo out-of-sample exercises, we find that for most of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361708

Economic growth and business cycle forecasting at the regional level

Lehmann, Robert - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441957

Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2015

This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839

Wie ist der Mittelstand in Deutschland verteilt? : eine Analyse mit Befragungsdaten

Berlemann, Michael; Jahn, Vera; Lehmann, Robert - In: Ifo Dresden berichtet 26 (2019) 1, pp. 23-28

es bisher aber nur spärliche empirische Evidenz für die Bedeutung mittelständischer Firmen in Deutschland. In diesem …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975391

Explaining spatial patterns of foreign employment in Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Nagl, Wolfgang - 2018

only for total foreign employment but also for the 35 most important migration countries to Germany. Based on a total …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978246

Wachstum und Produktivität 2035 : Innovations- und Produktivitätslücken auf Ebene der Bundesländer : Endbericht zum Forschungsauftrag der Bertelsmann Stiftung

Gillmann, Niels; Lehmann, Robert; Nauerth, Jannik A.; … - 2019

In der vorliegenden Studie wird die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung der deutschen Bundesländer vor dem Hintergrund zu erwartender Trends, etwa im Hinblick auf die Produktivitäts- und Demografieentwicklung, bis ins Jahr 2035 projiziert. Ausgehend von einem Basisszenario werden vier Alternativen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012108680

Explaining spatial patterns of foreign employment in Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Nagl, Wolfgang - 2017 - This version: February 12, 2017

This paper investigates the main determinants of the regional representation of foreign employees in Germany. Since … for total foreign employment but also for the 35 most important migration countries to Germany. Based on a total census … for all 402 districts in Germany, we find a large heterogeneity in migration determinants between nationalities. We …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611136

Electoral externalities in federations : evidence from German opinion polls

Frei, Xenia; Langer, Sebastian; Lehmann, Robert; … - 2017 - This version: February 20, 2017

state of Berlin and the federal level in Germany. State voting intentions for the state and for the federal parliament are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615805

Tracking and predicting the German economy : ifo vs. PMI

Lehmann, Robert; Reif, Magnus - 2020

This analysis investigates the predictive power of the most important leading indicators for the German economy, which are provided by the ifo Institute and IHS Markit. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time forecast experiment for growth of gross domestic product and growth of gross value added...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174766

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