Showing 1 - 10 of 65
We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level using a large set of indicators (regional, national and … forecasting accuracy. Among the 10% best performing models for the short forecasting horizon, one fourth contain regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531825
We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level using a large set of indicators (regional, national and … forecasting accuracy. Among the 10% best performing models for the short forecasting horizon, one fourth contain regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267848
We tackle the nowcasting problem at the regional level using a large set of indicators (regional, national and … forecasting accuracy. Among the 10% best performing models for the short forecasting horizon, one fourth contain regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273092
indicators play a crucial role for forecasting regional GDP. Keywords: regional forecasting, forecast combination, factor models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397275
In this paper, we ask whether it is possible to forecast gross value-added (GVA) and its sectoral subcomponents at the regional level. With an autoregressive distributed lagmodel we forecast total and sectoral GVA for one German state (Saxony) with more than 300 indicators from different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352198
This paper applies component-wise boosting to the topic of regional economic forecasting. Component-wise boosting is a … pre-selection algorithm of indicators for forecasting. By using unique quarterly real gross domestic product data for two … economic forecasting. We additionally take a closer look into the algorithm and ask which indicators get selected. All in all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584856
This paper looks into the ’fine print’ of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for … selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four different forecasting horizons. It turns out that a number of hard … therefore important to forecasting the performance of the German economy. However, there are indicators such as money supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431219
indicators play a crucial role for forecasting regional GDP. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427667
Die Vorhersage der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktion getrennt nach Wirtschaftsbereichen ist seit geraumer Zeit ein wichtiger Baustein einer jeden Konjunkturprognose. Das ifo Institut benutzt hierzu den eigens entwickelten IFOCAST-Ansatz. Der Artikel setzt sich kritisch mit der Prognosegüte der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694002
economic development and their forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698355