Showing 1 - 10 of 31
This paper provides a multivariate score-type test to distinguish between true and spurious long memory. The test is based on the weighted sum of the partial derivatives of the multivariate local Whittle likelihood function. This approach takes phase shifts in the multivariate spectrum into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324716
This paper analyzes market integration among long term government bonds in the Eurozone since the inception of the Euro in 1999. While it is commonly assumed that markets for EMU government bonds were closely integrated prior to the EMU debt crisis, we find that there is significant time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030911
We derive the properties of the periodogram local to the zero frequency for a large class of spurious long-memory processes. The periodogram is of crucial importance in this context, since it forms the basis for most commonly used estimation methods for the memory parameter. The class considered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030918
There are various competing procedures to determine whether fractional cointegration is present in a multivariate time series, but no standard approach has emerged. We provide a synthesis of this literature and conduct a detailed comparative Monte Carlo study to guide empirical researchers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030937
This paper derives a multivariate local Whittle estimator for the memory parameter of a possibly long memory process and the fractional cointegration vector robust to low frequency contaminations. This estimator as many other local Whittle based procedures requires a priori knowledge of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213530
It is commonly found that the markets for long-term government bonds of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries were integrated prior to the EMU debt crisis. Contrasting this, we show, based on the interrelation between market integration and fractional cointegration, that there were periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696318
There are various competing procedures to determine whether fractional cointegration is present in a multivariate time series, but no standard approach has emerged. We provide a synthesis of this literature and conduct a detailed comparative Monte Carlo study to guide empirical researchers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503762
We propose an automatic model order selection procedure for k-factor GARMA processes. The procedure is based on sequential tests of the maximum of the periodogram and semiparametric estimators of the model parameters. As a byproduct, we introduce a generalized version of Walker's large sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484709
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776697
We consider a large class of structural change processes that generate spurious long memory. Among others, this class encompasses structural breaks as well as random level shift processes and smooth trends. The properties of these processes are studied based on a simple representation of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776700