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future mortality rates. It can be argued that there are two types of mortality models using this approach. The first extracts …-parametric smoothing techniques to model mortality and thus has no explicit constraints placed on the model. We argue that from a … using Great Britain male mortality data from 1950–2016. We also conduct a robustness test to see how sensitive the forecasts …
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This paper investigates longevity inequality across U.S. states by modelling and forecasts mortality rates via a … forecast reconciliation approach. Understanding the heterogeneity in state-level mortality experience is of fundamental … importance, as a key challenge of multi-population mortality modeling is the curse of dimensionality, and the resulting complex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839991
Already home to 23% of the global elderly population, China will experience further demographic change in the coming decades. To address the consequences of population ageing, the Chinese government is implementing major social insurance reforms and promotes the development of private insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839992
This paper contributes to insurance risk management by modeling extreme climate risk and extreme mortality risk in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859067
Accurate future mortality forecasts are of fundamental importance as they ensure adequate pricing of mortality … projecting future mortality rates (see for example Clayton and Schifflers, 1987; Lee and Carter, 1992). There are generally two … types of mortality models using the extrapolative approach. The first extracts patterns in age, time and cohort dimensions …
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