Futures on fresh farmed salmon traded at the Fish Pool market in Norway are analysed in the context of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and a Fama & French three-factor model where contracts are separated based on their maturities. Looking into 1 month; 6 months and 12 months contracts, we...

Inspired by the initial success and eventual failure of Einar Aas' trading strategy exploiting dynamical patterns in the spread between Nordic and German electricity futures, we investigate the question whether there is evidence for possible arbitrage from engaging in both markets simultaneously...

In this paper we propose a simple one-factor quantile regression model based on realized volatility to forecast Value-at-Risk (VaR). The model only uses daily realized volatility as input and thus simplifies estimation substantially compared with most other methodologies currently used to...

For fixed maturity, under the no-arbitrage assumption, futures prices should follow a martingale with respect to the trading time, at least under the pricing measure. Therefore, a prominent display of trading time seasonality under the physical measure raises warning signs and can only occur by...