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Timid choices and bold forecasts : a cognitive perspective on risk taking

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Timid choices and bold forecasts : a cognitive perspective on risk taking

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Warum zu viel Optimismus schadet

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Mehr Risiko, mehr Rendite

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Your company is too risk-averse : here's why and what to do about it

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A structured approach to strategic decisions

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Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions - Too many executives view their projects and initiatives through a rose-colored lens, exaggerating the likely b...

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Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking

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Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking

Kahneman, Daniel; Lovallo, Dan - In: Management Science 39 (1993) 1, pp. 17-31

Decision makers have a strong tendency to consider problems as unique. They isolate the current choice from future opportunities and neglect the statistics of the past in evaluating current plans. Overly cautious attitudes to risk result from a failure to appreciate the effects of statistical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197674