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We examine the interrelationships between a large number of commodity series over a 20 year period through the use of minimum spanning trees. We find that there are several distinct clusters, that these are reasonably stable over time, and that the degree of interlinkage is time varying
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120566
We investigate the price spread between gold and silver trading as a futures contract on COMEX. Although the correlation between gold and silver returns during this period was high we find evidence of time varying long term dependence in the spread, with the positive dependent relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721197
Making use of ten years of daily data, this paper examines whether banking sector co-movements between the three largest Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) can be attributed to contagion or to interdependence. Our tests based on simple unadjusted correlation analysis uncover evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934707
This article examines the negative relationship between gold and the US dollar. It considers the argument that a weaker dollar makes gold cheaper, increases demand for gold, which in turn drives up the price, giving gold and the dollar their negative relationship. The conclusion is that whilst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091118
This paper examines the relationships between the Russian and other Central European (CE) and developed countries' equity markets over the 1995-2004 period.Along with the traditional Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration tests, we apply novel cointegration approaches, including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148495
We find that investors across the globe differentially prefer dividend-paying stocks over non-dividend-paying stocks more in declining markets than in advancing markets, whether in developed or emerging markets or before or after the 2008 global crisis, even accounting for growth opportunities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097626
Despite their importance there is a relative dearth on spillovers within the industrial metal class. This is particularly acute in regard to volatility spillovers. Using the Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) methodology we analyze these metals over a 20 year period, showing the evolution of volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097627
Much academic and investor analysis and commentary sees the four main precious metals as a single market, integrated and to some degree with each metal a substitute for the other. This proposition, which can be explicit or implicit can be challenged on economic grounds and on statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097628
We offer the first examination of whether the gold forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future gold spot rate. We find strong evidence that it is not, particularly at longer maturities. Building on Aggarwal and Zong's (2008) approach to allow for investor risk aversion, we then examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097630
We assess whether two classes of bubbles occur in the spot price of gold, rational speculative and periodically bursting bubbles, using gold’s lease rates for the first time in the literature as a measure of its fundamental value. This question is of particular significance as these are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743411