Under the stay-at-home orders issued by states, economic activities are reduced or put on hold by some states across the U.S. to control the spread of COVID-19. By combining several sources of data, we estimate the output loss due to such restrictions using a network approach. Based on our most...

Using a network approach, we estimate the output loss due to the lockdown of the Hubei province triggered by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Based on our most conservative estimate, China suffers about 4% loss of output from labor loss, and global output drops by 1% due to the economic...

Optimal monetary policy depends crucially on whether agents have exogenous, endogenous-inelastic, or endogenous-elastic attention. We show in this paper that, under elastic attention, optimal monetary policy may induce equilibria that are not possible under the other two settings: decision...

Detecting data manipulation in the Qing dynasty (1644-1912) reveals that such cheating behavior has persisted in modern China, for centuries. Qing prefectural officials were responsible for collecting and reporting local grain price data. We use the fact that grain prices are seasonal and grain...