2018 was an interesting year. While headline Indian indexes held steady, the broader set of Indian equities suffered a bear market with average stock down nearly 40 to 50%. In this article, we look at warning signs that were present leading up to 2018. Further, via the performance of mid and...

We test the behavioural theories of overconfidence and underreaction on cross-sectional (CS) and times-series (TS) momentum returns in the Japanese stock markets. Both CS and TS momentum returns are large and significant when the market continues in the same state and turns into losses when the...

While the earnings recovery has yet to realize itself, equity markets in India have continued to move up. As indices have moved up while earnings have largely failed to keep pace, valuations, to the extent that one bases them on the current earnings power of the business, have increasingly...

As equity markets have continued to move up and the current bull market has entered its ninth year, market participants have voiced concerns over elevated valuation levels. Several market participants including Hussman and GMO have voiced concerns that equity markets are currently priced to...

An investor, as Warren Buffett, said should think like a part-owner when investing in common stocks. As a part-owner, the investor should be concerned about the competitive positioning of the business he/she is invested in. A business that is relatively insulated from competitive actions, will...

Many market participants continuously dole out advice that higher economic growth results in higher investment returns. This tendency persists even though there has been much investment research providing evidence to the contrary. With the help of some examples and data presented by others, the...

The research literature shows that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of aggregate stock market returns. However, we contend that investor sentiment only predicts aggregate stock market returns during high-sentiment states where overpricing is more prevalent than underpricing. Using a...

We test the behavioural theories of overconfidence and underreaction on cross-sectional (CS) and times-series (TS) momentum returns in the Japanese stock markets. Both CS and TS momentum returns are large and significant when the market continues in the same state and turns into losses when the...

Recent evidence on the relationship between investor sentiment and subsequent monthly market returns in China shows that investor sentiment is a reliable momentum predictor since an increase (decrease) in investor sentiment leads to higher (lower) future returns. However, we suggest that...

The all-stock equity indices provide important information to market participants for asset allocation and investment performance evaluations. In this paper, we construct market capitalization weighted indexes for each of the 23 countries included in the MSCI Emerging Markets index as of...