2018 was an interesting year. While headline Indian indexes held steady, the broader set of Indian equities suffered a bear market with average stock down nearly 40 to 50%. In this article, we look at warning signs that were present leading up to 2018. Further, via the performance of mid and...

Many market participants continuously dole out advice that higher economic growth results in higher investment returns. This tendency persists even though there has been much investment research providing evidence to the contrary. With the help of some examples and data presented by others, the...

The all-stock equity indices provide important information to market participants for asset allocation and investment performance evaluations. In this paper, we construct market capitalization weighted indexes for each of the 23 countries included in the MSCI Emerging Markets index as of...

An investor, as Warren Buffett said, should think like a part-owner when investing in common stocks. As a part-owner, the investor should be concerned about the competitive positioning of the business he/she is invested in as a business that is relatively insulated from competitive actions, will...

While the earnings recovery has yet to realize itself, equity markets in India have continued to move up. As indices have moved up while earnings have largely failed to keep pace, valuations, to the extent that one bases them on the current earnings power of the business, have increasingly...

As equity markets have continued to move up and the current bull market has entered its ninth year, market participants have voiced concerns over elevated valuation levels. Several market participants including Hussman and GMO have voiced concerns that equity markets are currently priced to...

An investor, as Warren Buffett, said should think like a part-owner when investing in common stocks. As a part-owner, the investor should be concerned about the competitive positioning of the business he/she is invested in. A business that is relatively insulated from competitive actions, will...

We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime-switching and multifractality along with two competing distributional assumptions of the error component, i.e. Normal vs Student-t. Our precise contribution is twofold. First, we...

We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors to estimate the parameters of a stochastic model of opinion dynamics. The bivariate nature of our data set also allows us to explore the interaction between the two hypothesized opinion formation processes,...

We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a...