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A Monte Carlo (MC) experiment is conducted to study the forecasting performance of a variety of volatility models under alternative data generating processes (DGPs). The models included in the MC study are the (Fractionally Integrated) Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265831
This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787851
This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, recent investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032141
This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005613008
The financial crisis has fueled interest in alternatives to traditional asset classes that might be less affected by large market gyrations and, thus, provide for a less volatile development of a portfolio. One attempt at selecting stocks that are less prone to extreme risks, is obeyance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352040
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime-switching and multifractality along with two competing distributional assumptions of the error component, i.e. Normal vs Student-t. Our precise contribution is twofold. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
Long memory (long-term dependence) of volatility counts as one of the ubiquitous stylized facts of financial data. Inspired by the long memory property, multifractal processes have recently been introduced as a new tool for modeling financial time series. In this paper, we propose a parsimonious...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265839
The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by means of best linear forecasts derived via the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278826
The financial crisis has fueled interest in alternatives to traditional asset classes that might be less a ected by large market gyrations and, thus, provide for a less volatile development of a portfolio. One attempt at selecting stocks that are less prone to extreme risks, is obeyance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398688
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282864