We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...

We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...

Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most convincing pieces of evidence against the validity of the time-honored efficient market hypothesis. Recently, using Shiller’s distinction between ex-ante rational (fundamental)...

Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most convincing pieces of evidence against the validity of the time-honored efficient market hypothesis. Recently, using Shiller s distinction between ex-ante rational (fundamental) price...

We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...

The paper discusses the impact of the financial crisis on macroeconomics and on research into financial markets. The cornerstones of the economic mainstream were made obsolete by actual developments in recent years, and there are now signs that a fundamental paradigm shift is possible. After the...

This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, recent investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we...

This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we apply...

The paper discusses the impact of the financial crisis on macroeconomics and on research into financial markets. The cornerstones of the economic mainstream were made obsolete by actual developments in recent years, and there are now signs that a fundamental paradigm shift is possible. After the...

This note reconsiders divergent results on the extremal behaviour of German stock returns that have been published recently. In particular, investigations of this issue have arrived at different conclusions regarding the finiteness of the second moment of the return distributions. Here we apply...