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We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785005
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the nai͏̈ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …, volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002090155
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the nai͏̈ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003392147
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003487855
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263537
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003249990
form the best linear forecasts for future volatility we find that the behavioral model generates sensible forecasts that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501932
A Monte Carlo (MC) experiment is conducted to study the forecasting performance of a variety of volatility models under … Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models ((FI)GARCH), the Stochastic Volatility model (SV) and the Markov … different characterizations of the latent volatility process: specifications which incorporate short/long memory, autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932329
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the na?ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979