The paper is an attempt at studying the mechanisms whereby the economic activity dynamics and money market conditions affect the developments in nonperforming loan ratio across the main activity sectors, namely agriculture, industry, commerce and constructions. The default rates are modeled both...

The paper’s target is to identify macroeconomic and financial variables that are relevant for the evolution and forecassting of the household’s overdue loans in Romania. By employing vector autoregression and systems of ecuations using the SUR methodology, the authors are trying to...