This paper compares alternative models of time-varying macroeconomic volatility on the basis of the accuracy of point and density forecasts of macroeconomic variables. In this analysis, we consider both Bayesian autoregressive and Bayesian vector autoregressive models that incorporate some form...

Our research focuses on forecasting the GDP growth rate by taking a considerable number of economic indicators from various frequencies into account within a new penalty-based mixed-frequency data model called the MIDAS-LASSO model. The empirical findings reveal that the MIDAS-LASSO model has a...

This paper compares alternative models of time-varying macroeconomic volatility on the basis of the accuracy of point and density forecasts of macroeconomic variables. In this analysis, we consider both Bayesian autoregressive and Bayesian vector autoregressive models that incorporate some form...