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In this paper we derive the measure of position-unwinding risk of currency carry trade portfolios from the currency … currency volatility, and highly correlated with global currency skewness risk. We show that high interest-rate currencies are … (overshooting) upon default components to analyze currency risk premia. We investigate the sovereign CDS spreads as the proxy for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007414
Most technical analysis studies are concerned with the profitability of technical trading rules and almost all of them focus exclusively on trend-following patterns. In this paper we examine a different kind of technical indicator which suggests a structural relationship between High, Low, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004233
This is the first study that employs option pricing model to measure the position-unwinding risk of currency carry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107339
to model daily DM-based and median currency-based bilateral exchange rates of countries participating in the original ERM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273730
. This modelling framework is employed to model daily DM-based and median currency-based bilateral exchange rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754530
In this paper we analyze the operation of the inter-war gold exchange standard to see if the evident credibility of the system conferred on participating central banks the ability to pursue independent monetary policies. To answer this question we econometrically analyze two key parity, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718816
. This modelling framework is employed to model daily DM-based and median currency-based bilateral exchange rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677572
This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264610
fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question of whether a supposed safe haven currency only appreciates in times of … crises because carry trades are unwound, in which the corresponding currency has served as funding currency, or whether it … currencies, and the euro serves as a hedge currency. Results for the yen support its role as a carry funding vehicle, but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433356
fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question of whether a supposed safe haven currency only appreciates in times of … crises because carry trades are unwound, in which the corresponding currency has served as funding currency, or whether it … currencies, and the euro serves as a hedge currency. Results for the yen support its role as a carry funding vehicle, but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010462763