A recently introduced multi-generation model 1181, developed for high-technology industries and tested on a high-tech product class, is applied to a very different situation. It is tested by fitting and forecasting use of three generations of packaging technology in the fluid milk market, glass,...

New product forecasting often focuses only on the new product itself, neglecting the fact that older technologies remain on the market to provide competition. Multi-generation innovation diffusion models are available, but have only rarely been tested on actual data. Furthermore, although causal...