Asset price dynamics are taken to be accumulations of surprise jumps in the logarithm of prices. A Markov pure jump model is formulated on making variance gamma parameters deterministic functions of the price level. Estimation is done by matrix exponentiation of the transition rate matrix for a...

Statistical theory has been relatively absent in the exercise of estimating parameters of an option pricing model from cross-sectional data at a fixed point of calendar time. The cross-sectional data typically consists of prices for options at various strikes and maturities at market close. The...

Noting that risk neutral distributions are estimated by minimizing the squared deviations between market and model option prices we consider using option payoff moments in estimating distributional parameters from a sample of observations. It is observed, in particular when compared to maximum...

Minimal discounted distorted expectations across a range of stress levels are employed to model risk acceptability in markets. Interactions between discounting and stress levels used in measure changes are accommodated by lowering discount rates for the higher stress levels. Acceptability...

Options paying the product of put and/or call option payouts at different strikes on two underlying assets are observed to synthesize joint densities and replicate differentiable functions of two underlying asset prices. The pricing of such options is undertaken from three perspectives. The...

It is argued that the growth in the breadth of option strikes traded after the financial crisis of 2008 poses difficulties for the use of Fourier inversion methodologies in volatility surface calibration. Continuous time Markov chain approximations are proposed as an alternative. They are shown...

It is argued that the growth in the breadth of option strikes traded after the financial crisis of 2008 poses difficulties for the use of Fourier inversion methodologies in volatility surface calibration. Continuous time Markov chain approximations are proposed as an alternative. They are shown...

A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...

Comonotone additivity for two price economy bid and ask prices motivates combining bid prices for call options with the ask prices for puts and the converse to construct two densities (termed lower and upper) reflected by these prices. The two densities scaled to a unit mean are here linked by...

The spirit of now in nowcasting suggests expanding the current to include the near future. Decision theory is then developed by incorporating the consequences of actions into the present. With the future falling into the present discounting it is no longer permitted. Value functions are then...